archer21 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 (edited) 58 minutes ago, theaub said: I've seen a lot of posts/blog posts etc about catching teams - who behind us do we need to worry about? Is there any hope with a 4 point window if its the right 4 points (ie US ends up in 4th etc) It’s possible but not probable. However, a 5 point window (or 6 point) would put us at about 1503 ranking points. Behind us are Tunisia, Cameroon, Ecuador, Saudi Arabia. If Tunisia wins both matches against Mali, they’d pass us. Same for Cameroon vs Algeria. A win and loss (or draw) for those teams has them behind us still though. Also Egypt can eliminate Senegal and remain behind us if they split the games but win on aggregate. Ecuador and Saudi Arabia can’t get to 1500 points even with 2 wins. So basically a 5 or 6 point window sends us to pot 3 if 1 of the teams expected to finish in pot 3 doesn’t qualify (USA, Morocco, Senegal or somehow North Macedonia wins their group) AND Tunisia and Cameroon both fail to win both of their matches. Edited March 24, 2022 by archer21 Obinna 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpursFlu Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 (edited) The more I consider all these scenarios the more I think we just need to worry about ourselves. I'm going with 7 pts and we need Ghana to at least tie 1 of 2 with Nigeria Correct me if I'm wrong but that seems about as straightforward as I can get it Edited March 24, 2022 by SpursFlu Obinna and Stryker911 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
archer21 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 22 minutes ago, SpursFlu said: The more I consider all these scenarios the more I think we just need to worry about ourselves. I'm going with 7 pts and we need Ghana to at least tie 1 of 2 with Nigeria Correct me if I'm wrong but that seems about as straightforward as I can get it Unfortunately it’s not totally that straightforward. That’ll put us both on 1516 points. It’ll literally come down to tenths or hundredths of a fifa point, and will depend on what point totals our opponents are at and what total Ghana are at during the games. For instance, if Nigeria draw the first match then win the second, they’ll end up with more points than if they win the first and draw the second. This is because they’ll be playing a team with a higher point total for the second game. blueseeka 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kent Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 I don't follow African football, but it seems almost everybody is just throwing away scenarios like upsets in the African games. If Congo beats out Morocco, or Mali beats out Tunisia, those teams will be ranked below us, as an example. narduch 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kent Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 OK, I've updated my little spreadsheet with all the remaining teams that will take up the last available spots, not counting the 3 spots that are destined for Pot 4, to be determined in June. A grand total of 13 teams that are currently ranked lower than us that are still in it (and of course, some of those teams are close enough that they could pass us in ranking). The more of those teams that make it in (not through a inter continental playoff), the better for us. Xavier., narduch, Kyle_The_Hill and 1 other 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shorty Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Italy out. Holy F&$@. narduch, Obinna, canuckgbp and 3 others 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canuckgbp Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 narduch, Kyle_The_Hill and Olympique_de_Marseille 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narduch Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, shorty said: Italy out. Holy F&$@. If only Macedonia could upset Portugal too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sal333 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, shorty said: Italy out. Holy F&$@. If North Macedonia beats Portugal, does that mean we are in Pot 3? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miche Posted March 24, 2022 Author Share Posted March 24, 2022 1 minute ago, Sal333 said: If North Macedonia beats Portugal, does that mean we are in Pot 3? It's another avenue NVsoccer 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Approve My Account Pls Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 3 minutes ago, narduch said: If only Macedonia could upset Portugal too If only fucking Yilmaz could've put that pen in 🤦🏽♂️ king1010, Kyle_The_Hill, Xavier. and 3 others 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pottsy3 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 ... so did Bryan Cristante make the wrong choice? king1010, narduch, lamptern and 9 others 6 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Approve My Account Pls Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 (edited) You could argue this is the Dual "No World Cup" Revenge Tour: - Cristante - ✅ - Ferdi - ✅* - Tomori - probably not with Southgate - Marmoush - playing w Egypt vs. Senegal Anyone else I'm missing?? Edited March 24, 2022 by Approve My Account Pls NVsoccer, MtlMario and Sal333 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sal333 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Just now, Approve My Account Pls said: You could argue this is the Dual "No World Cup" Revenge Tour: - Cristante - ✅ - Ferdi - ✅* - Tomori - probably not with Southgate Anyone else I'm missing?? Yankov Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Approve My Account Pls Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 (edited) 1 minute ago, Sal333 said: Yankov Bulgaria deserves as much of a visit on this Revenger Tour as Haiti does with Douverger or Trinidad with Telfer, that is none Edited March 24, 2022 by Approve My Account Pls Pottsy3, Obinna and NVsoccer 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Pottsy3 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 9 minutes ago, Approve My Account Pls said: Bulgaria deserves as much of a visit on this Revenger Tour as Haiti does with Douverger or Trinidad with Telfer, that is none What about Emery Welshman and Q Roberts with Guyana? CanadianSoccerFan, Shway and NVsoccer 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
narduch Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Babouli was an unused sub for Syria today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanMNT Memes Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 QBCS, Admiral Murray, Xavier. and 5 others 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sal333 Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 5 minutes ago, CanMNT Memes said: I'm of Italian descent and I don't know what those gestures mean. Vancouver Fan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Olympique_de_Marseille Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 (edited) 40 minutes ago, Approve My Account Pls said: You could argue this is the Dual "No World Cup" Revenge Tour: - Cristante - ✅ - Ferdi - ✅* - Tomori - probably not with Southgate - Marmoush - playing w Egypt vs. Senegal Anyone else I'm missing?? Morocco keeper Yassine "Bono" Bounou. He was at the previous World Cup and didn't get a single minute. If 🇲🇦 qualify this time, he'd likely be their starting keeper. So f*ck him. --- Also, theoretically Teal Bunbury is still active and could have gotten minutes with us ( I mean Tesho played at the Gold Cup ) Edited March 24, 2022 by Olympique_de_Marseille MtlMario 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TGAA_Star Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 10 hours ago, archer21 said: 2-0 now. I think our best chance now is to catch Nigeria. Just need Ghana to pull of a result in one of the 2 legs. Edit: I think it’s possible to pass Nigeria even if we both win out, but I’m not positive. On the simulation site if you add up the points gained by each team winning out, they end up 0.05 points ahead of us. But that’s based on opponents’ points right now. Ghana will be lower and Nigeria higher for the 2nd leg, so they’d gain less points for that game than the first. And if Jamaica/Panama enter our games with more points than they have now, that could increase the amount of points we get from those games. So I think rankings wise, we should be hoping for Jamaica to beat El Salvador, and Panama to beat Honduras and USA Ghana are doin nothing point blank nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jedi Ram Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 POTS UPDATE as of 19:05 EST - including updated FIFA ranking points for games played earlier today. Based on my math for Canada max points is 1529.00 points. Xavier., blueseeka, Kent and 1 other 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kent Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 And here is my updated spreadsheet, still with stale rankings. CanadianSoccerFan 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TGAA_Star Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 Imagine if DR Congo beats Morocco in the first leg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kent Posted March 24, 2022 Share Posted March 24, 2022 This is the first day in history, when Canada's chances of winning the next World Cup are higher than Italy's. narduch, Jedi Ram, TGAA_Star and 1 other 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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