WCQ: Third Round - Window 4 (January 27- February 2, 2022)

[yomurphy1]

24 minutes ago, Infernal said:

 

Love watching Henry deck that Mexican at 0:22. 

[Ally McCoist]

2 minutes ago, yomurphy1 said:

Love watching Henry deck that Mexican at 0:22. 

I am STOKED they added that in. Inject that shit into my veins.

[Cheeta]

1 hour ago, narduch said:

 

Think Stacks is almost a luxury against Honduras and El Salvador, yes put me in the "past is the past, it's not Jack Warner's CONCACRAP anymore" camp.  However, really think his presence will be missed against the USA.  Great if he can pull off getting into Hamilton in time.

Everything else aside that is the match this window will be judged on by the general public, famous victories in Central America or no.

Feeling good, we may not be top of table on the 3rd of February but I think the war may be won this next week or so.  

Here's to being right for a change.

 

[Lurker]

38 minutes ago, Infernal said:

 

I don't know who put that video together but I absolutely love that they choose the Chucky Lozano crushing for Doneil Henry. 

[umpiredice]

11 hours ago, sstackho said:

Betting odds should be much more realistic than Elo-based.  

I took a quick look for betting odds on World Cup qualification, but didn't immediately find any.  Can you please point me to these odds if publicly available online?

These are the current odds on PlayNow.com.

Jamaica vs. Mexico:  Home 4/1, Draw 9/4, Away 69/100

USA vs. El Salvador:  Home 9/25, Draw 4/1, Away 21/1

Honduras vs. Canada:  Home 95/40, Draw 41/20, Away 11/10

Costa Rica vs. Panama:  Home 1/1, Draw 2/1, Away 11/4

As always, keep in mind that bookmakers aren't trying to predict the outcome of the game.  They're trying to set the odds to maximize their profits.

[sstackho]

I was specifically asking about betting odds on World Cup qualification - not individual matches.

 

[umpiredice]

5 hours ago, theaub said:

If anyone wants to play around (think you need to go to the page and thne refresh again for it to work)

https://www.marca.com/claro-mx/futbol/mundial/2022/01/18/61e6f68322601d64798b456e.html

My prediction for the end of the window

What a cool little game!  Here's my (perhaps optimistic) prediction.

[Ally McCoist]

Very random question but by any chance does anyone have a video clip of when Canada sang the national anthem vs Mexico? I think that was the most passionate I've seen our boys sing the anthem but the clip is nowhere to be found. OneSoccer had it on their YouTube and Twitter but it has since been removed.

[nolando]

7 hours ago, Lurker said:

I don't know who put that video together but I absolutely love that they choose the Chucky Lozano crushing for Doneil Henry. 

Doesn't Max Bell put a lot of this stuff together? Even if working for the CSA that guy is about as much of a hard-core supporter type as I am, just from the inside.

[JamboAl]

47 minutes ago, nolando said:

Doesn't Max Bell put a lot of this stuff together? Even if working for the CSA that guy is about as much of a hard-core supporter type as I am, just from the inside.

Montreal 2008 v Honduras.  That is all!  🙂

[CanadaFan123]

10 minutes ago, JamboAl said:

Montreal 2008 v Honduras.  That is all!  🙂

What a throwback 

[QBCS]

Does anyone's ticketmaster page say "The event cannot be found" When they go to the event page? 

[RS]

2 hours ago, JamboAl said:

Montreal 2008 v Honduras.  That is all!  🙂

[sstackho]

The Elo model refutes Wheeler's claim that teams have a 99% chance of qualifying if they get to 24 points. 

 

[Yoginess]

43 minutes ago, sstackho said:

The Elo model refutes Wheeler's claim that teams have a 99% chance of qualifying if they get to 24 points. 

 

These forecasts are decent to assess the long term but we’re getting pretty close to throwing this out the window. 

[maplebanana]

1 hour ago, Yoginess said:

These forecasts are decent to assess the long term but we’re getting pretty close to throwing this out the window. 

For total points required, I think it actually gets more accurate as results are known. You could argue that it can't accurately predict which teams will be in, but the total number of points required for top 3 are getting more clear with each result. Taken to the limit, after 15 of 16 matches we should know with near certainty the exact number of points required.

[theaub]

Yeah I think that's pretty much bang on.  If Costa Rica wins on Thursday then Wheeler's 99% comment will be correct.

[Free kick]

One thing I do know, we should be watching that CRC-Pan game.  Its just as important for Canada as its game versus Hon

[narduch]

Not sure if this was posted.

 

[narduch]

1 minute ago, Free kick said:

One thing I do know, we should be watching that CRC-Pan game.  Its just as important for Canada as its game versus Hon

I will definitely have that game going on my tablet. It starts 1 hour after the Canada game.

[johnyb]

13 hours ago, umpiredice said:

What a cool little game!  Here's my (perhaps optimistic) prediction.

Played around a bit and not as optimistic as you, but I have us clinching Top 4 this window.

[narduch]

This might explain the Leutwiler call up more:

 

[CanadaFan123]

2 minutes ago, narduch said:

This might explain the Leutwiler call up more:

 

Makes sense. He's been getting called since 2017 and has yet to get a cap. That's never going to change until he can make it happen at club level. 

[canuckgbp]

 

[apbsmith]

Calling it now... #fearless prediction.

1) Jamaica to get a result vs Mexico. 

2) Not sure if Tata survives this window.