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  • Sober Second Thoughts: dumb, dumb luck


    Guest

    Luck -- both bad and good -- is a reality in sport. The cliche is to say that good teams make their luck, but the truth is that good teams are just good.

    Luck, by its very nature, is not controllable. It has nothing to do with skill, neither good or bad.

    It's impossible to look at TFC's string of collapses and not understand that there is a degree of luck (in TFC's case the bad kind) involved.

    Yes, a lack of skill contributes to the result. If the Reds had more skill in finishing they have more goals, more often and the randomness plays less of a factor.

    That said, it is Duane from Belleville stuff to blame all of the problems on players not trying, or M£$€ not caring, or what have you.

    The players tried hard enough yesterday and management would be insane not to care. It was a perfect night out with a big crowd that desperately wanted to celebrate. Instead they walked away frustrated and, last night anyway, it largely came down to crap luck.

    A tired and seemingly distracted Impact team were badly outplayed for 70 minutes. Yet 45 seconds of incomprehensible play by TFC was punished. More often than not, with more teams than not, at least one of the errors isn't punished.

    A post, a slip, a mistake of their own -- something. But, that didn't happen. Instead, Montreal gained a point it didn't likely deserve and TFC fans went home disappointed again.

    Let's be clear: a lack of skill plays a big role too. You don't go a year without a league win at BMO Field just on the back of bad luck. But, you don't go a year without a league win at BMO Field without a lot of crap luck along the way.

    Although it may seem like it at the moment, luck is random. TFC will catch a break at home eventually. Until that happens, feel free to lament just how absurd the last year had been.

    It has been, after all. TFC just doesn't make sense. I wish I could point to something and say "fix it and it will be better" but the truth is I can't. Neither can you. Nor, anyone.

    All we can do is wait and hope.

    Onward?



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